What Was Probably True
Modal Verbs of Probability - Past
Modal verbs of probability express an opinion based on what a speaker knows about a situation at the moment of speaking. The following forms are used to speak about past situations.
Example:
Their kitchen must have been abiding by sanitation standards.
Tim must have offended the vendor.
Management must have been unaware of our guests' needs.
'Must' plus the perfect form (must have done) expresses the idea that you are almost 100% sure of your opinion about a given situation which took place in the past.
Subject + must + have + past participle + objects
Example:
Tim must have offended the vendor.
Management must have been unaware of our guests' needs.
'Might' or 'could' plus the perfect form of the verb (could / might have done) expresses an opinion that you think was probably true at a past moment in time.
Subject + might / could + have + past participle + objects
Example:
The manufacturers might have been responsible for the defect.
The tavern might have been offering a low priced beer.
'Can't' plus the perfect form of the verb (can't have done) expresses the idea that you are almost 100% sure that something was not true at a past moment in time. Note that the form is 'can't have done' NOT 'couldn't have done'.
Subject + can't + have + past participle + objects
Example:
Their lateness can't have been caused by a high volume of orders.
They can't have been concerned about repeat business.